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Conforming mortgage rates rose by 0.625 percent Wednesday. Yes, you read it right. Zero-point-six-two-five percent. On a $300,000 loan, that equates to $117/mo higher in a payment.
The surprise surge in pricing started shortly after 1:00 P.M. ET, then continued all the way until the market’s closing. It was the sharpest one-day surge in mortgage rates in recent history. Perhaps ever.
For mortgage rate shoppers swept up in the surge, monthly payments are now higher by $29 per $100,000 borrowed.
That’s a significant shift.
For as rare as Wednesday’s events were, though, middle-of-the-day, 0.625 percent rate changes don’t just happen. Yesterday, the action was the result of a confluence of factors, including:
In addition, momentum trading played a role.
As markets worsened, selling begat more selling, amplifying Wall Street’s total losses. As mortgage bond prices fell, mortgage rates went up. By a lot.
Mortgage markets are notoriously fickle and yesterday’s events proved it. Days like Wednesday are precisely why insiders recommend shopping for mortgage rates in a compressed timeframe. The faster you finish, the lower the risk of losing low interest rates to new market conditions.
Shopping for low mortgage rates is a game of luck.
Some days, mortgage rates are favorable. Other days, they’re not. And while you can sometimes make an educated guess about where rates might be headed, you’re not always going to guess right.
Even the experts get it wrong more often than they’d like.
But some parts of the rate shopping process can be predicted and one of them is the future of mortgage guidelines.
In general, the more often homeowners default on their respective mortgages, the harder it is for future mortgage applicants to be approved.
This is why “now” may be the best time to apply for a FHA mortgage. Defaults are climbing, suggesting that FHA underwriting guidelines are about to tighten.
Indeed, the FHA has implemented two major changes since last summer:
These changes create barriers to entry for potential FHA borrowers, improving the overall quality of the FHA loan pool.
For a taxpayer-funded agency like FHA, loan performance is an important goal. Therefore, as the number of defaults grows, expect FHA guideline to get tighter.
The problem is, though, we can’t predict just where the FHA will tighten. Maybe the FHA raises its minimum FICO score requirement, or maybe it gets tough on seller-paid closing costs. A hike in loan fees isn’t out of the question, either — that’s the path Fannie Mae took, after all.
Whatever the FHA does, fewer people will qualify for FHA mortgages once it’s done. So, if you’re planning to buy a home and your downpayment is limited, or your credit scores are suspect, or there’s some other “red flag” in your profile, consider moving up your timeframe to act.
Mortgage rates may rise or mortgage rates may fall, but neither is going to matter if you can’t get qualified for a home loan. And, for FHA mortgage applicants, tougher mortgage guidelines are only a matter of time.
April 4, 2009, marked the official start of the Making Home Affordable refinance program.
Expected to help 5 million homeowners, the Making Home Affordable program “looks the other way” with respect to falling home values, approving mortgage applications based on borrower payment history and benefit to the homeowner.
Not every homeowner is eligible for a Making Home Affordable refinance, however. There are 3 basic criteria that must be met.
First, your existing home loan must be backed by either Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac. Thankfully, both companies provide online lookup services. Start with the Fannie Mae site because Fannie has a greater market share and because Freddie Mac’s site requires your social security number.
Next, you must have a perfect mortgage payment history over the last 12 months. Even one payment made 30 days late disqualifies you from participating in the Making Home Affordable program. It is okay, however, if you were 20 days late on your payment and incurred late fees.
And lastly, the balance on your mortgage cannot exceed your home’s value by more than 5%. The math formula is (Mortgage Balance) / (Home Value). If the quotient is greater than 1.05 then your loan-to-value exceeds 105% and you are not eligible for Making Home Affordable.
Now, assuming you meet the criteria, there are some noteworthy details of the Making Home Affordable program:
There are other guidelines, too, and both Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have dedicated portions of their website to the Making Home Affordable program. To the layperson, unfortunately, the information may be a bit technical.
Even the government’s fact sheet can be a little dense at times.
Therefore, if you have specific questions about the Making Home Affordable program and your own eligibility, first check to see if Fannie or Freddie is backing your loan. If your loan is currently owned by Fannie Mae, First Heritage Mortgage can help; however, we will not be able to help on loans that are currently backed by Freddie Mac.
Feel free to call me at 240-223-1730 if you have questions.
First Heritage Mortgage, LLC
6550 Rock Spring Drive, Suite 260, Bethesda, Maryland 20817-1131
Direct: 240.223.1730 • Toll-free: 866.833.LOAN • Fax: 240.223.1703
