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	<title>Tim Romp Home Loans</title>
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	<link>http://www.timromp.com</link>
	<description>I'm Your Go-To Guy For Questions About Mortgage Financing in the Greater DC Area.</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Wed, 02 May 2012 20:33:51 +0000</lastBuildDate>
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		<title>Mortgage Guidelines Resume Tightening Nationwide</title>
		<link>http://www.timromp.com/2012/05/01/federal-reserve-loan-officer-survey-q1-2012/</link>
		<comments>http://www.timromp.com/2012/05/01/federal-reserve-loan-officer-survey-q1-2012/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 01 May 2012 12:45:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Romp</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Mortgage Guidelines]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Federal Reserve]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Homeownership Rates]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mortgage Approvals]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.timromp.com/?p=1291</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Despite an improving U.S. economy, the nation's banks remain cautious about what they will lend, and to whom.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img style="float: right; margin-left: 10px; margin-right: 10px; border-image: initial; border: 0px initial initial;" title="Senior Loan Officer Survey" src="http://bringtheblog.com/i/fed-bank-lending-survey-2012q1.png" alt="Senior Loan Officer Survey" width="216" height="302" />Despite an improving U.S. economy, the nation&#8217;s banks remain cautious about what they will lend, and to whom.</p>
<p>Last quarter, <a title="Federal Reserve loan officer survey" href="http://www.federalreserve.gov/boarddocs/snloansurvey/201205/fullreport.pdf" target="_blank">by a margin of 3-to-2</a>, more banks tightened residential mortgage lending standards for &#8220;prime borrowers&#8221; than did loosen them.</p>
<p>A &#8220;prime borrower&#8221; is defined as one with a well-documented credit history, high credit scores, and a low debt-to-income ratio. The insight comes from the Federal Reserve&#8217;s quarterly survey of its member banks.</p>
<p>Last quarter, of the 54 responding banks :</p>
<ul>
<li>0 banks tightened mortgage guidelines considerably</li>
<li>3 banks tightened mortgage guidelines somewhat</li>
<li>49 banks left guidelines basically unchanged</li>
<li>2 banks eased mortgage guidelines somewhat</li>
<li>0 banks eased mortgage guidelines considerably</li>
</ul>
<p>By contrast, in the quarter prior, not a single surveyed bank reported tighter residential mortgage guidelines. The period from January-March was a step backwards, therefore, for the fledgling U.S. housing market.</p>
<p>Overall, getting approved for a mortgage is tougher than it used to be. Banks enforce higher minimum credit score standards; ask for larger downpayment/equity positions; and require higher monthly income relative to monthly debt obligations.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s one reason why the homeownership rate is at its <a title="Homeownership rate falls" href="http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-04-30/homeownership-rate-in-u-s-falls-to-lowest-since-1997.html" target="_blank">lowest point since 1997</a>.</p>
<p>Another reason why homeownership rates may be down is that prospective home buyers believe the hurdles of today&#8217;s mortgage approval process may be impassably high. That&#8217;s untrue.</p>
<p>There are many U.S. homeowners and renters that were approved for a home loan last quarter &#8212; prime borrowers or otherwise. Some had excellent credit, some had modest credit. Some had high income, some had moderate income. Many, however, took advantage of low-downpayment mortgage options such as the FHA&#8217;s 3.5% downpayment program, and the VA&#8217;s 100% mortgage program for military veterans.</p>
<p>Despite a general tightening in mortgage standards, loans are still available and banks remain eager to lend.</p>
<p>It is harder to get approved today as compared to 5 years ago, but for those that try and succeed, the reward is access to the lowest mortgage rates in a lifetime. Mortgage rates continue to push home affordability to all-time highs.</p>
<p>If you&#8217;re in the market to buy a new a home or refinance one, your timing is excellent.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Fed Minutes Causes Mortgage Rates To Rise Suddenly</title>
		<link>http://www.timromp.com/2012/04/04/fomc-minutes-march-2012/</link>
		<comments>http://www.timromp.com/2012/04/04/fomc-minutes-march-2012/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 04 Apr 2012 12:45:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Romp</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Federal Reserve]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fed Minutes]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FOMC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mortgage Rates]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.timromp.com/?p=1272</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Federal Reserve has released the minutes from its last FOMC meeting. Mortgage rates are rising on the news.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img style="float: right; margin-left: 10px; margin-right: 10px; border-image: initial; border: 0px initial initial;" title="FOMC Minutes March 2012" src="http://bringtheblog.com/i/fomc-minutes-201203.jpg" alt="FOMC Minutes March 2012" width="200" height="296" />The Federal Reserve has <a title="Fed Minutes March 2012" href="http://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/fomcminutes20120313.pdf" target="_blank">released the minutes</a> from its last FOMC meeting, a 1-day affair held March 13, 2012. Mortgage rose yesterday on the news.</p>
<p>For the un-indoctrinated, 3 weeks after it meets, the Federal Open Market Committee, the sub-group within the Federal Reserve that votes on U.S. monetary policy, publishes its meeting minutes.</p>
<p>Similar to the minutes from a corporate event, or condominium association meeting, the Fed Minutes recounts the conversations and debates that transpired throughout the meeting.</p>
<p>The Fed Minutes is a lengthy publication, often filling 10 pages or more. By contrast, the more well-known publication from the FOMC &#8212; its post-meeting press release &#8212; tends to span 6 paragraphs or less.</p>
<p>The extra detail contained within the Fed Minutes is Wall Street fodder, especially given the current economic uncertainty. Investors look to the Federal Reserve for clues about what&#8217;s next for the U.S. economy.</p>
<p>Lately, the minutes has made an out-sized impact on mortgage rates. The Fed&#8217;s words continue to swing the mortgage-backed bond market.</p>
<p>Yesterday was no different.</p>
<p>March&#8217;s Fed Minutes is a dense one and markets are reacting. The text shows a central bank softly divided on future U.S. economic policy, and in debate about whether existing market stimulus should be removed.</p>
<p>The Fed has said that it&#8217;s expecting high levels of unemployment and low levels of inflation in the coming months, an outlook that leaves little reason to introduce a third round of stimulus. This is the primary reason why mortgage rates climbed with the Fed Minutes&#8217; release.</p>
<p>Since mid-March, mortgage rates dropped on speculation that the Federal Reserve would introduce a mortgage bond purchase program this quarter.</p>
<p>According to the minutes, the Federal Reserve believes that additional market stimulus would only be necessary &#8220;if the economy lost momentum&#8221;, or if inflation remained too far below 2 percent per year. Currently, Core PCE &#8212; the Fed&#8217;s preferred gauge of inflation &#8212; is running slightly below 2 percent.</p>
<p>The Federal Reserve&#8217;s next scheduled meeting is April 24-25, 2012 &#8212; its third of 8 scheduled meetings this year.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Mortgage Rates Fall Back Below 4%</title>
		<link>http://www.timromp.com/2012/03/30/mortgage-rates-below-4-percent/</link>
		<comments>http://www.timromp.com/2012/03/30/mortgage-rates-below-4-percent/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 30 Mar 2012 12:45:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Romp</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Mortgage Rates]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Discount Points]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Freddie Mac]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Home Affordability]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.timromp.com/?p=1268</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[After a brief run-up two weeks ago, mortgage rates are back below 4 percent.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img style="border-image: initial; border: 1px solid black;" title="Freddie Mac Weekly Mortgage Rates" src="http://bringtheblog.com/i/freddie-mac-weekly-20120329.jpg" alt="Freddie Mac Weekly Mortgage Rates" width="450" height="323" /></p>
<p>After a brief run-up two weeks ago, mortgage rates are back below 4 percent. It&#8217;s good news for home buyers and mortgage rate shoppers because with lower mortgage rates come lower mortgage payments.</p>
<p>According to Freddie Mac&#8217;s weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, the national, average 30-year fixed rate mortgage rate <a title="Freddie Mac rates" href="http://freddiemac.com/pmms">fell to 3.99 percent</a> this week from last week&#8217;s 4.08 percent.</p>
<p>Last week had marked the first time since December 2011 that the benchmark rate crossed north of 4 percent &#8212; a span of 16 weeks.</p>
<p>And, it wasn&#8217;t just rates that got cheaper this week &#8212; closing costs dropped, too.</p>
<p>Freddie Mac&#8217;s survey showed that the average number of discount points to accompany a 30-year fixed rate mortgage fell one-tenth of a percent this week to 0.7, where one discount point is equal to one percent of your loan size.</p>
<p>As a real-life example, a $200,000 mortgage with an accompanying 0.7 discount points would be subject to an additional $1,400 one-time closing cost. Last week, that cost was $1,600.</p>
<p>Note, though, that these are average mortgage rates for the nation. On a local level, rates may be higher or lower, and so may the accompanying number of discount points.</p>
<p>For example, in <a title="Freddie Mac Survey" href="http://www.freddiemac.com/pmms/" target="_blank">this week&#8217;s Freddie Mac survey</a>, each U.S. region boasts its own &#8220;average rate&#8221; :</p>
<ul>
<li>Northeast Region : 4.00% with 0.7 discount points</li>
<li>West Region : 3.94% with 0.9 discount points</li>
<li>Southeast Region : 4.01% with 0.8 discount points</li>
<li>North Central Region : 3.99% with 0.6 discount points</li>
<li>Southwest Region : 4.02% with 0.8 discount points</li>
</ul>
<p>These rates are each well below the average rates of a year ago when the average 30-year fixed rate mortgage was 4.86%. </p>
<p>Low mortgage rates can&#8217;t last forever so if you&#8217;ve been wondering whether now is a good time to buy a home or refinance one; or whether rising rates will harm your monthly budget, the answer may be yes. A weak economy held mortgage rates low last year. An improving economy should push rates higher this year.</p>
<p>Call me so that we can review your home loan options. Looking ahead to spring and summer, mortgage rates appear poised to rise.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>FHA Drops Upfront Mortgage Insurance Premium To 0.01% For Qualified Borrowers</title>
		<link>http://www.timromp.com/2012/03/09/fha-streamline-refinance-new-mip-ufmip/</link>
		<comments>http://www.timromp.com/2012/03/09/fha-streamline-refinance-new-mip-ufmip/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 09 Mar 2012 13:45:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Romp</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Mortgage Guidelines]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FHA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MIP]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[UFMIP]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.timromp.com/?p=1251</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Beginning mid-June 2012, certain current, FHA-backed homeowners will be able to refinance their existing FHA mortgage into a new one, without having to pay the government-backed group's new, costly mortgage insurance premium schedule.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img style="float: right; margin-left: 10px; margin-right: 10px; border-image: initial; border: 1px solid black;" title="FHA MIP schedule" src="http://bringtheblog.com/i/fha-ufmip-june-2012.jpg" alt="FHA MIP schedule" width="220" height="193" />The FHA is making more changes to its flagship FHA Streamline Refinance program.</p>
<p>Beginning mid-June 2012, certain current, FHA-backed homeowners will be able to refinance their existing FHA mortgage into a new one, without having to pay the government-backed group&#8217;s new, costly mortgage insurance premium schedule.</p>
<p>Earlier this week, the FHA rolled out its new MIP schedule.</p>
<p>Beginning April 9, 2012, new FHA mortgages are subject to a 1.75% upfront mortgage insurance premium (UFMIP) and an annual mortgage insurance premium of up to 1.25% for loan sizes up to, and including, $625,500; or 1.60% for loan sizes exceeding $625,500.</p>
<p>Upfront MIP is typically added to the loan size as a lump sum. Annual MIP is paid via 12 monthly installments. Both add to the long-term costs of homeownership.</p>
<p>However, the FHA&#8217;s new MIP schedules will not apply to all FHA-backed homeowners equally. Homeowners whose FHA mortgages were endorsed prior to June 1, 2009 will benefit from a different, less costly MIP schedule.</p>
<p>For these homeowners in search of a streamline, the MIP schedule is as follows :</p>
<ul>
<li>Upfront MIP : 0.01% of the loan size</li>
<li>Annual MIP : 0.55% of the loan size, with no adjuster for loan sizes over $625,500</li>
</ul>
<p>The new schedule is detailed in <a title="FHA Mortgagee Letter 12-04" href="http://portal.hud.gov/hudportal/documents/huddoc?id=12-04ml.pdf" target="_blank">FHA Mortgagee Letter 12-04</a> and it lowers the cost of FHA Streamline Refinancing for long-time, FHA-backed households nationwide to almost nothing.</p>
<p>As a real-life example, an FHA-backed homeowner whose $100,000 mortgage dates to 2008 could refinance via the FHA Streamline Refinance program and pay just $10 in upfront MIP, with a corresponding annual MIP payment of just $550, or $45.83 monthly. </p>
<p>By comparison, every other FHA-backed homeowner with a $100,000 mortgage pays $1,750 in UFMIP and as much as $1,600 in annual MIP.</p>
<p>The new streamline refinance MIP schedule is in effect for FHA mortgage applications with case numbers assigned on, or after, June 11, 2012. It is not available for loan applications made prior to that date.</p>
<p>There are lots of dates and deadlines in <a title="FHA Streamline Refinance Program" href="http://portal.hud.gov/hudportal/documents/huddoc?id=12-04ml.pdf" target="_blank">the FHA&#8217;s new streamline program</a>. If you&#8217;re too early &#8212; or too late &#8212;  you could miss your optimal refinance window. Give me a call at 240-223-1730 so we can discuss your circumstances. You&#8217;ll be glad to be prepared.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<item>
		<title>Are You Wasting $471 Per Month On Your Mortgage?</title>
		<link>http://www.timromp.com/2012/03/07/mortgage-rate-refinance-nbc-today-show/</link>
		<comments>http://www.timromp.com/2012/03/07/mortgage-rate-refinance-nbc-today-show/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Mar 2012 13:45:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Romp</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Mortgage Rates]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NBC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Refinance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Today Show]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.timromp.com/?p=1247</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Mortgage rates are low but can't stay low forever. Here's how you can join the current Refi Boom.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><object id="msnbc682caa" width="420" height="245" classid="clsid:d27cdb6e-ae6d-11cf-96b8-444553540000" codebase="http://download.macromedia.com/pub/shockwave/cabs/flash/swflash.cab#version=6,0,40,0"><param name="data" value="http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/32545640" /><param name="FlashVars" value="launch=46341234&amp;width=420&amp;height=245" /><param name="allowScriptAccess" value="always" /><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true" /><param name="wmode" value="transparent" /><param name="src" value="http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/32545640" /><param name="flashvars" value="launch=46341234&amp;width=420&amp;height=245" /><param name="allowfullscreen" value="true" /><embed id="msnbc682caa" width="420" height="245" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" src="http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/32545640" data="http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/32545640" FlashVars="launch=46341234&amp;width=420&amp;height=245" allowScriptAccess="always" allowFullScreen="true" wmode="transparent" flashvars="launch=46341234&amp;width=420&amp;height=245" allowfullscreen="true" /></object></p>
<p>According to Freddie Mac&#8217;s weekly mortgage rate survey, <a title="Freddie Mac PMMS" href="http://www.freddiemac.com/pmms/" target="_blank">for 13 straight weeks</a>, the average 30-year fixed rate mortgage has held below 4.000% for mortgage applicants willing to pay up to 0.8 discount points plus a full set of closing costs.</p>
<p>These are the lowest mortgage rates in history and now &#8212; with a bevy of loan programs for the nation&#8217;s 11 million &#8220;underwater homeowners&#8221; including HARP, the FHA Streamline Refinance, and the VA IRRRL &#8212; millions of U.S. homeowners can exploit the current mortgage rate environment.</p>
<p>In this 4-minute clip from <a title="NBC The Today Show" href="http://today.msnbc.msn.com/id/26184891/#46341234" target="_blank">NBC&#8217;s The Today Show</a>, you&#8217;ll learn about today&#8217;s mortgage market and your refinancing opportunities.</p>
<p>The video begins by telling us that 14 million credit-worthy Americans have yet to refinance their respective mortgages, and are leaving an average of $471 in &#8220;wasted savings&#8221; on the table each month which adds up to more than $5,600 annually.</p>
<p>That&#8217;s a big number.</p>
<p>Some of the video&#8217;s other key points include :</p>
<ul>
<li>Refinancing is &#8220;worth the hassle&#8221; when mortgage rates are as low as they are today</li>
<li>The best rates are reserved for homeowners with the highest credit scores</li>
<li>Comparison shop &#8212; your current mortgage lender may not offer you the best rates</li>
</ul>
<p>Furthermore, the video reveals the characteristics of the homeowner type most likely to benefit from a refinance. These traits include having with 20% equity in the home; have plans to live in the home for at least the next 36 months; carrying a current mortgage rate of 5 percent or higher.</p>
<p>It should also be added that, with a zero-closing-cost or low-closing-cost mortgage, even a small reduction in your mortgage rate can make a refinance worthwhile.</p>
<p>Mortgage rates are low but can&#8217;t stay low forever. If you haven&#8217;t participated in the Refi Boom, talk with a loan officer and review your mortgage options. You may be able to save hundreds of dollars per month with just modest closing costs.</p>
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		<item>
		<title>FHA To Raise Mortgage Insurance Premiums April 1, 2012</title>
		<link>http://www.timromp.com/2012/03/02/fha-mip-april-2012/</link>
		<comments>http://www.timromp.com/2012/03/02/fha-mip-april-2012/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 02 Mar 2012 13:45:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Romp</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Mortgage Guidelines]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FHA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MIP]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[UFMIP]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.timromp.com/?p=1242</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Beginning April 1, 2012, the FHA is once again raising its mortgage insurance premiums.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img style="float: right; margin-left: 10px; margin-right: 10px;" title="FHA MIP Changes April 1 2012" src="http://bringtheblog.com/i/fha-mip-changes-2012.jpg" alt="FHA MIP Changes April 1 2012" width="210" height="198" />Beginning April 1, 2012, the FHA is once again raising mortgage insurance premiums (MIP) on its newly-insured borrowers throughout and the country.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s the FHA&#8217;s fourth such increase in the last two years.</p>
<p>Beginning April 1, 2012, upfront mortgage insurance premiums will be higher by 75 basis points, or 0.75%; and annual mortgage insurance premiums will be higher by 10 basis points per year, or 0.10%.</p>
<p>For borrowers with a loan size of $200,000, the new MIP will add $1,500 in one-time loan costs, plus an on-going, annual $200 increase in total mortgage insurance premiums paid.</p>
<p>All new FHA loans are subject to the increase &#8212; purchases and refinances.</p>
<p>The FHA is increasing its mortgage insurance premiums because, as an entity, the FHA is insuring a much larger percentage of the U.S. mortgage market than ever before. </p>
<p>In 2006, the FHA insured <a title="FHA marketshare charts" href="http://portal.hud.gov/hudportal/documents/huddoc?id=fhamkt0711.pdf" target="_blank">2 percent</a> of all purchase-money mortgages. In 2011, that figure jumped to 18 percent. Unfortunately, as the FHA has insured more loans, it&#8217;s number of loans in default have climbed, too, forcing the FHA to boost its reserves.</p>
<p>Beginning April 1, 2012, the new FHA annual mortgage insurance premium schedule is as follows :</p>
<ul>
<li>15-year loan term, loan-to-value &gt; 90% : 0.60% MIP per year</li>
<li>15-year loan term, loan-to-value &lt;= 90% : 0.35% MIP per year</li>
<li>30-year loan term, loan-to-value &gt; 95% : 1.25% MIP per year</li>
<li>30-year loan term, loan-to-value &lt;= 95% : 1.20% MIP per year</li>
</ul>
<p>In order to calculate what your FHA annual mortgage insurance premium would be on a monthly basis, multiply your beginning loan size by your insurance premium in the chart above, then divide by 12.</p>
<p>In addition, for loans over $625,500, beginning June 1, 2012, there is an additional 25 basis point increase to annual MIP.</p>
<p>To avoid paying the new FHA mortgage insurance premiums, start your FHA mortgage application today. Existing FHA-insured homeowners will not be affected by the change.</p>
<p>Mortgage insurance premiums will not rise for loans already made.</p>
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		<title>Quick Tips : Boost Your Credit Score For Better Mortgage Rates</title>
		<link>http://www.timromp.com/2012/02/09/improve-credit-tips-tricks/</link>
		<comments>http://www.timromp.com/2012/02/09/improve-credit-tips-tricks/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 09 Feb 2012 13:45:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Romp</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Personal Finance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FICO]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NBC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Today Show]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.timromp.com/?p=1111</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Lenders are reserving lowest rates for the customers with high FICOs. Here's a few ways to improve your credit score quickly.]]></description>
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<p>Credit scores play a huge role in today&#8217;s mortgage market &#8212; larger than at any time in recent history. Blame it on the high default rates of the last half-decade. Lenders are reserving their lowest rates for the customers most likely to make on-time repayments.</p>
<p>Mortgage rates are at an all-time low. However, the low rates you see advertised on TV and online are only available to the home buyers and would-be refinancers whose credit scores are pristine. Having a high credit score is often the difference between getting &#8220;the best rates&#8221; from your lender, and getting something worse.</p>
<p>The first part of improving your credit score is understanding how it works. In this 5-minute piece from NBC&#8217;s The Today Show, you&#8217;ll learn the basics :</p>
<ul>
<li>Why you shouldn&#8217;t close a credit card after you pay off a large debt</li>
<li>What is the maximize balance to leave on your credit cards, relative to your credit limit</li>
<li>What types of credit checks harm your credit scores, and which ones don&#8217;t</li>
</ul>
<p>You&#8217;ll also learn how to shop for a mortgage with multiple lenders without having your credit score &#8220;dinged&#8221;, as well as several proven methods to raise your credit score quickly.</p>
<p>In the end, good credit scores are the result of paying bills on time and staying with your means. Those with the best scores, get the best rates.</p>
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		<title>Mortgage Rates Don&#8217;t Move With The Fed Funds Rate</title>
		<link>http://www.timromp.com/2011/08/19/mortgage-rates-fed-fund-rate-disconnect/</link>
		<comments>http://www.timromp.com/2011/08/19/mortgage-rates-fed-fund-rate-disconnect/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 19 Aug 2011 12:56:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Romp</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Mortgage Rates]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Basis Points]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fed Funds Rate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FOMC]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.timromp.com/?p=959</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Mortgage rates and the Fed Funds Rate are two different interest rates; completely disconnected. Here's a chart that proves it.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img style="float: right; margin-left: 10px; margin-right: 10px;" title="Fed Funds rate vs Mortgage Rates 2000-2011" src="http://bringtheblog.com/i/ffr-v-30-year-fixed-201108.png" alt="Fed Funds rate vs Mortgage Rates 2000-2011" width="216" height="302" />Last week, at its 5th scheduled meeting of the year, the Federal Open Market Committee voted to leave the Fed Funds Rate in its target range near zero percent.</p>
<p>The Fed Funds Rate has been near zero percent since December 2008 and, <a title="FOMC Statement August 2011" href="http://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/press/monetary/20110809a.htm" target="_blank">in its official statement</a>, the FOMC pledged to leave the Fed Funds Rate untouched for at least another 2 years.</p>
<p>This doesn&#8217;t mean mortgage rates will be untouched for 2 years, though. </p>
<p>Mortgage rates and the Fed Funds Rate are two different interest rates; completely disconnected. If mortgage rates and the Fed Funds Rate moved in tandem, the chart at right would be a straight line.</p>
<p>Instead, it&#8217;s jagged.</p>
<p>To make the point more strongly, let&#8217;s use real-life examples from the past decade.</p>
<ul>
<li>June 2004, 529 basis points separated the Fed Funds Rate and the 30-year fixed mortgage rate</li>
<li>June 2006, 168 basis points separated the Fed Funds Rate and the 30-year fixed mortgage rate</li>
</ul>
<p>Today, the separation between the two benchmark rates is <a title="Freddie Mac Weekly Survey" href="http://freddiemac.com/pmms" target="_blank">407 basis points</a>.</p>
<p>1 basis point is equal to 0.01%.</p>
<p>Between now and mid-2013, when the Fed may begin changing the Fed Funds Rate, the spread between rates will change based on economic expectation &#8212; not Fed action (or non-action). If the economy is expected to improve, mortgage rates will rise and the spread will widen.</p>
<p>Should mortgage rates cross 6 percent before the Fed starts raising rates, it will create the widest interest rate spread in history, surpassing the 615 basis point difference set in August 1982. </p>
<p>At the time, the Fed Funds Rate was 10.12% and mortgage rates averaged 16.27%.</p>
<p>On the other hand, if the economy shows signs of a slowdown for late-2011 and beyond, mortgage rates are expected to drop.</p>
<p>Shopping for a mortgage can be tough &#8212; especially in a volatile environment like the current one. Mortgage rates move independent of the Fed Funds Rate. Make sure you&#8217;re watching the proper market indicators. It&#8217;s your best chance to lock the lowest rate possible.</p>
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		<title>Strong Job Growth In July Trumped By Credit Downgrade</title>
		<link>http://www.timromp.com/2011/08/11/jobs-report-july-2011/</link>
		<comments>http://www.timromp.com/2011/08/11/jobs-report-july-2011/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 11 Aug 2011 12:58:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Romp</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[The Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jobs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Non-Farm Payrolls]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Unemployment Rate]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.timromp.com/?p=952</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The latest Non-Farm Payrolls survey from the Bureau of Labor Statistics shows that 117,000 net new jobs were created in July, thumping analyst estimates and surprising Wall Street investors.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><!-- This material is non-exclusively licensed to Tim Romp and may not be copied, reproduced, or sold in any form whatsoever.-->
<p><img style="float: right; margin-left: 10px; margin-right: 10px;" title="Non-Farm Payrolls Aug 2009-July 2011" src="http://bringtheblog.com/i/net-nfp-201108.png" alt="Non-Farm Payrolls Aug 2009-July 2011" width="216" height="302" />More Americans are getting back to work.</p>
<p>The latest Non-Farm Payrolls survey from the Bureau of Labor Statistics shows that <a title="July jobs report" href="http://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm" target="_blank">117,000 net new jobs</a> were created in July, thumping analyst estimates and surprising Wall Street investors.</p>
<p>In addition, May and June&#8217;s originally-reported figures were both revised higher:</p>
<ul>
<li>May 2011 was revised higher by 28,000 jobs</li>
<li>June 2011 was revised higher by 28,000 jobs</li>
</ul>
<p>The national&nbsp;Unemployment Rate slipped to 9.1 percent.</p>
<p>The jobs report&#8217;s strong readings would typically be a boon to stock market and a threat to mortgage rates. This is because more employed Americans means more disposable income spent on products and services; and more taxes paid to governments at the federal, state and local level.</p>
<p>This combination fuels consumer spending and supports new job growth, a self-reinforcing cycle that spurs economic growth and often to draw investors into equities.</p>
<p>This month, however, the market reaction has been decidedly different.</p>
<p>Since the Friday release of the July Non-Farm Payrolls report, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has lost close to 6 percent of its value. Furthermore, mortgage bonds &#8212; which typically <em>sink</em> on a strong jobs figure &#8212; have thrived.</p>
<p>High demand for mortgage-backed bonds have pushed mortgage rates below their all-time lows set last November; the biggest cause of which is <a title="Credit downgrade story in Washington Post" href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/business/economy/sandp-considering-first-downgrade-of-us-credit-rating/2011/08/05/gIQAqKeIxI_story.html" target="_blank">Standard &amp; Poor&#8217;s credit downgrade</a> of U.S. government-issued debt.</p>
<p>Ironically, the credit rating downgrade sparked a surge of safe haven bidding that has been tremendous to rate shoppers and home buyers nationwide. Bond buyers are flocking to the U.S.</p>
<p>If you&#8217;ve been shopping for a mortgage, therefore, or recently bought a home, use this week&#8217;s action to your advantage. Call your lender and ask about rates. You may be surprised at what you find.</p>
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		<title>A Simple Explanation Of The Federal Reserve Statement (August 9, 2011 Edition)</title>
		<link>http://www.timromp.com/2011/08/09/fomc-statement-august-2011/</link>
		<comments>http://www.timromp.com/2011/08/09/fomc-statement-august-2011/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 09 Aug 2011 18:51:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Romp</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Federal Reserve]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ben Bernanke]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fed Funds Rate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FOMC]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.timromp.com/?p=949</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Tuesday, the Federal Open Market Committee voted to leave the Fed Funds Rate unchanged within its current target range of 0.000-0.250 percent. The vote was 7-3.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img style="border: 1px solid black; float: right; margin-left: 5px; margin-right: 5px;" title="Putting the FOMC statement in plain English" src="http://bringtheblog.com/i/FOMC-Announcement.jpg" alt="Putting the FOMC statement in plain English" width="222" height="186" />Tuesday, the Federal Open Market Committee voted to leave the Fed Funds Rate unchanged within its current target range of 0.000-0.250 percent.</p>
<p>The vote was 7-3 — the first time in 5 meetings that the nation&#8217;s Central Bank was non-unanimous and the first time since 1992 that the FOMC adjourned with as many as three dissenters.</p>
<p><a title="FOMC Press Release June 22 2011" href="http://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/press/monetary/20110622a.htm" target="_blank">In its press release</a>, the FOMC had little good to say about the U.S. economy, noting that since its last meeting in July:</p>
<ol>
<li>Growth has been &#8220;considerably slower&#8221; than expected</li>
<li>Labor market conditions have deteriorated</li>
<li>Household spendng has &#8220;flattened&#8221;</li>
</ol>
<p>The Fed also noted that the housing sector remains depressed.</p>
<p>On the positive side, the Fed said that business investment in equipment and software continues to expand, and that energy costs have dropped and no longer contribute to inflationary pressures on the economy.</p>
<p>In fact, the Fed worries that inflation may be running too low for the country&#8217;s good.</p>
<p>To that end, the Federal Reserve has pledged to keep the Fed Funds Rate in its current range near 0.000 percent &#8220;at least until mid-2013&#8243;. This is a departure from prior statements in which the Fed gave no such date.</p>
<p>Mortgage market reaction to the FOMC statement has been positive this afternoon. Mortgage rates are improving, but note that sentiment can shift quickly &#8212; especially in a market as uncertain as this one.</p>
<p>If today&#8217;s mortgage rates look good in your household budget, consider locking in a rate.</p>
<p>The FOMC&#8217;s next scheduled meeting <a title="FOMC Calendar" href="http://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm" target="_blank">is September 20, 2011</a>.</p>
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